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September 2010 |
Once it's done, it's doneThe True Meaning of 'Historic Vote' The most basic explanation for why Barack Obama may win next Tuesday is that voters want economic deliverance. The standard fix for this in politics everywhere is to crowbar the old party out and patch in the other one. It is true as well that the historic nature of the nation's first African-American candidacy would play a big role. Push past the historic candidacy, however, and one sees something even larger at stake in this vote. One sees what Joe (The Plumber) Wurzelbacher saw. The real "change" being put to a vote for the American people in 2008 is not simply a break from the economic policies of "the past eight years" but with the American economic philosophy of the past 200 years. This election is about a long-term change in America's idea of itself. I don't agree with the argument that an Obama-Pelosi-Reid government is a one-off, that good old nonideological American pragmatism will temper their ambitions. Not true. With this election, the U.S. is at a philosophical tipping point. The goal of Sen. Obama and the modern, "progressive" Democratic Party is to move the U.S. in the direction of Western Europe, the so-called German model and its "social market economy." Under this notion, business is highly regulated, as it would be in the next Congress under Democratic House committee chairmen Markey, Frank and Waxman. Business is allowed to create "wealth" so long as its utility is not primarily to create new jobs or economic growth but to support a deep welfare system. The political planets are aligned to make this achievable. In the aftermath of the financial crisis, prominent Democrats, European leaders in France and Germany and more U.S. newspaper articles than one can count have said that the crisis proves the need to permanently tame the American "free-market" model. P.O.W. Alan Greenspan is broadcasting confessions. The question is: Are the American people of a mind to throw in the towel on the system that got them here? This would be a historic shift, one post-Vietnam Democrats have been trying to achieve since their failed fight with Ronald Reagan's "Cowboy Capitalism." Of course Cowboy Capitalism built the country. More than any previous nation in history, the United States made its way forward on a 200-year wave of upwardly mobile, profit-seeking merchants, tradesmen, craftsmen and workers. They blew out of New England and New York, rolled across the wildernesses of the Central States, pushed across a tough Western frontier and banged into San Francisco and Los Angeles, leaving in their path city after city of vast wealth. The U.S. emerged a superpower, and the tool of that ascent was simple -- the pursuit of economic growth. Now China, India and Brazil, embracing high-growth Cowboy Capitalism, are doing what we did, only their cities are bigger. Now comes Barack Obama, standing at the head of a progressive Democratic Party, his right hand rising to say, "Mothers, don't let your babies grow up to be for-profit cowboys. It's time to spread the wealth around." What this implies, undeniably, is that the United States would move away from running with the high GDP, high-growth nations rising today as economic and political powers and move over to retire with the low-growth economies we displaced -- old Europe. As noted in a 2006 World Bank report, spending in Europe on social-protection programs averages 19% of GDP (85% of it on social insurance programs), compared to 9% of GDP in the U.S. The Obama proposals send the U.S. inexorably and permanently toward European levels of social protection. This isn't an "agenda." It's a final temptation. In partial detail: Obama's federalized medical insurance system starts the transition away from private medical care and toward Obama's endlessly promised "universal health care." This has always been the sine qua non of planting a true, managed-market economy in the U.S. Obama's refundable tax credits are direct cash transfers from the federal government. This would place some 48% of Americans, nearly half, out of the income tax system. More than a tax proposal, this is a deep philosophical shift, an American version of being "on the dole." His stated intent to renegotiate free-trade agreements such as Nafta is a philosophical shift. It abandons the tradition of a hyper-competitive America dating back to the Industrial Revolution, toward a protected, domestic workforce, as in Western Europe. The Democratic proposal to eliminate private union votes -- "card check" -- ensures the spread of a static, Euro-style workforce. Eliminating the ceiling on payroll taxes changes Social Security from an insurance to a welfare program. Obama's tax credits requires performing government-identified activities, the essence of a "directed economy." All this would transform the animating American idea -- away from creation and toward protection. Many voters -- progressive Democrats, the asset-safe rich, academics and college students -- regard this as where America should go. They explicitly want America's great natural energies transferred away from unwieldy economic competition and toward social construction. They want the U.S. to reduce its "footprint" in the world. Monies saved by stepping down from superpower status can be reprogrammed into "investments" (a favorite Obama word) in a vast Euro-style hammock of social protection programs. One wishes John McCain had been better able to make clear what the truly "historic" meaning of Tuesday's vote is. Once it's done, it's done. By Daniel Henninger http://sec.online.wsj.com/article/SB122533132337982833.html Hat tip: Pam Tulman ------------------ Response by Marty D.: One of the most important consequences of a Democrat-controlled Congress is that market forces will be tamed (regulated) and subordinated to the notions of politicians (even more so than they are now, which many argue is the source of the problem in the first place). If you are pleased with the state of our nation, it is Congress whom you have to thank, not some past or future president. Presidents come and go; Congress endures. In the old U.S., when individuals achieved success in business, they were able to direct much of the profit into further expansion which resulted in jobs by the thousands and a high standard of living for everyone involved. Moreover, high profits acted as a signal to others that the market would be a good one to enter - providing even more jobs - and spreading prosperity. The social welfare state model sees profits as a resource to be endlessly tapped (expropriated by force of government) for use by politicians so they can "share the wealth" and fund their numerous "investments" in things that no one would willingly risk his own capital on. Under democratic socialism, the goal is equal outcomes for everyone, except the elite who will be the politicians. Everyone else shares a meager existence and works for the state in one way or another. The alternative is to work for yourself, instead of being the socialist slave of others, and be all that you can be, beginning young with your dreams and without government imposing limits (taxes) on your certain success. We have, of course, been sliding down the welfare state slope into a politicized economy for many decades, in fact for many generations, not unlike boiling a frog, but an Obama presidency would mean finally going over a cliff. In the wake of the 2008 election, we will have plenty of time to play "catch-up" with American history and heritage. At some point those who can still read and write will realize instinctively they have lost something big. Corporations by the thousands have already fled our shores, driven away by Congress, state legislatures, unions and the dismal state of American socialized education. Ambitious and talented young Americans might also want to start thinking about heading for the lifeboats. Their future looks dismal. The United States of America was founded on the notion of a government of the people, by the people, for the people. In stark contrast, the antithesis is socialism, i.e., a government of the elite, by the elite, for the elite. Here's your chance to choose. Keep in mind that once it's over, it's over. ------------------ Response by David R.: We may get economic "deliverance," like Ned Beatty got it in "Deliverance." Posted November 3, 2008 06:01 AM
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